Qinwen Zheng World No. 54 · 
China 
Elise Mertens World No. 19 · 
Belgium Live Polymarket prices · $6.3K traded across 16 markets · as of 20:24 UTC
Qinwen Zheng (serving) Elise Mertens (serving) Who comes in stronger: ranking, season record, form and the basics side by side.
| Qinwen Zheng | Fact | Elise Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| No. 54 | World ranking | No. 19 |
| 1,083 | Ranking points | 2,165 |
| 20–15 | 2026 record | 31–19 |
| WWWWW | Last 5 matches | LWWWW |
| 24 | Age | 30 |
| 178 cm | Height | 179 cm |
| China | Country | Belgium |
| Not on record | Turned pro | 2010 |
Their most recent completed meetings, latest first.
Head-to-head record not fetched yet.
Prediction market probabilities from Polymarket, as recorded over the life of the market.
Qinwen Zheng 56%
Elise Mertens 44%
Percentages show what people predict, not a tip. A 70% favourite still loses about three times in ten.
How the win chances moved before the match.
As of 9 October 2026, 20:24 UTC, Qinwen Zheng is priced at 56% to beat Elise Mertens at China Open, with Elise Mertens at 44%. Qinwen Zheng is the favorite, but Elise Mertens is priced with a real shot. Prices are Polymarket probabilities and move with every trade.
56%
What is happening around Qinwen Zheng vs Elise Mertens - headlines from our approved sources, links go to the source.
No headlines about this match from our sources yet - stories land here as soon as they are published.
Other matches from this tournament.
Mirra Andreeva ▼ 1% 24H
70% 
Nikola Bartunkova ▲ 1% 24H
31% View match › China Open Quarter-finals Elise Mertens vs Iga Swiatek Elise Mertens 
Iga Swiatek View match › China Open Quarter-finals Qinwen Zheng vs Elina Svitolina Qinwen Zheng 
Elina Svitolina View match › China Open Quarter-finals Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Mirra Andreeva 
Ekaterina Alexandrova Mirra Andreeva View match › China Open Quarter-finals Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova 
Karolina Muchova Nikola Bartunkova View match › China Open Round of 16 Ann Li vs Elina Svitolina 
Ann Li Elina Svitolina View match › China Open Round of 16 Alina Charaeva vs Qinwen Zheng 
Alina Charaeva Qinwen Zheng View match › China Open Round of 16 Coco Gauff vs Elise Mertens 
Coco Gauff Elise Mertens View match › Polymarket prices as of
Beyond the winner: the side markets on this match, in plain words.
How long does it go?
Straight sets
59%
quoted, no trades yet
Who takes the first set?
Qinwen Zheng
55%
quoted, no trades yet
How one-sided?
Elise Mertens wins, or loses by 1 set at most
66%
quoted, no trades yet
Prices as of 9 October 2026, 20:46 UTC. 16 markets on this event on Polymarket.