Shubladze stuns Samsonova; Struff, Berrettini climb

2026-11-04

Shubladze had a 24% win chance before play and beat Samsonova.
Struff climbs from No. 47 to No. 39 after beating Gea.
Zverev v Musetti, Paris Masters: Zverev's win chance is 69%.

Results

Match · 1/32-finals · Paris Masters Upset

Andrey Rublev 69%

Tomas Martin Etcheverry 31% Before play Martin Etcheverry won · 6-4 6-7 7-6 Match page ›

Match · 1/32-finals · Paris Masters Upset

Brandon Nakashima 61%

Matteo Berrettini 39% Before play Berrettini won · 6-4 3-6 7-6 Match page ›

Match · 1/32-finals · Paris Masters

Benjamin Bonzi 22%

Taylor Fritz 78% Before play Fritz won · 3-6 6-3 6-4 Match page ›

Match · 1/32-finals · Paris Masters Upset Jan-Lennard Struff 46%

Arthur Gea 54% Before play Struff won · 7-6 6-3 Match page ›

Match · 1/32-finals · Paris Masters Upset

Alex Michelsen 41%

Jiri Lehecka 59% Before play Michelsen won · 6-7 6-2 6-4 Match page ›

Match · 1/16-finals · Paris Masters Upset

Casper Ruud 38%

Rafael Jodar 62% Before play Ruud won · 6-3 6-4 Match page ›

Match · 1/16-finals · Hong Kong Open Upset

Elena Pridankina 25%

Paula Badosa 75% Before play Pridankina won · 7-5 Match page ›

Shubladze comes from a set down to stun Samsonova

Alexandra Shubladze beat Liudmila Samsonova 5-7 6-1 6-2 in the Hong Kong Open round of 32 on Tuesday 3 November 2026. It was the day's biggest upset: no winner had a lower win chance before play than Shubladze's 24%. Samsonova's win chance before play was 76%, and Samsonova took the opening set. Then Shubladze took over, and the last two sets weren't close.

Match · 1/16-finals · Hong Kong Open Upset

Alexandra Shubladze 24%

Liudmila Samsonova 76% Before play Shubladze won · 5-7 6-1 6-2 Match page ›

Player Alexandra Shubladze WTA No. 136 · 51–15 in 2026 Next: v Pridankina · Thu 5 Nov, 06:00 UTC Player ›

Player Liudmila Samsonova WTA No. 40 · 21–27 in 2026 Player ›

Berrettini edges Nakashima and moves up to No. 43

Matteo Berrettini beat Brandon Nakashima in three sets at the Paris Masters; Berrettini's win chance before play was 39%. He moves from No. 48 to No. 43 and meets Ugo Humbert in the round of 32 on Wednesday 4 November 2026 at 16:00 UTC.

Player Matteo Berrettini ATP No. 43 · 25–21 in 2026 Next: v Humbert · Wed 4 Nov, 17:35 UTC Player ›

Player Brandon Nakashima ATP No. 18 · 39–24 in 2026 Player ›

Struff beats Gea and climbs to No. 39

Jan-Lennard Struff beat Arthur Gea in straight sets, a match that was close to a coin flip, with Struff's win chance before play at 46%. He climbs from No. 47 to No. 39 and plays Thiago Agustin Tirante on Wednesday at 16:00 UTC.

Player Jan-Lennard Struff ATP No. 39 · 28–26 in 2026 Next: v Agustin Tirante · Wed 4 Nov, 17:10 UTC Player ›

Player Arthur Gea ATP No. 44 · 49–20 in 2026 Player ›

Revathi climbs to No. 669

Maaya Rajeshwaran Revathi moves up from No. 716 to No. 669 in the WTA ranking. Next she faces Weronika Falkowska in the round of 16, with that match set for Wednesday at 12:30 UTC.