Paris Masters · Round of 16 · Hard

Matteo Berrettini vs Carlos Alcaraz: H2H, Form & Win Chances

Matteo Berrettini Matteo Berrettini Italy Italy · No. 43
Carlos Alcaraz Carlos Alcaraz Spain Spain · No. 3
21% People predict 79%

as of 5 Nov, 01:05 UTC

What people expect i

What people put money on beyond the winner, as the chance of the likelier answer.

All 16 markets All 16 ›
  • 71% Straight sets, no decider Deciding set? No
  • 57% Berrettini takes the first set First set? Berrettini
  • 65% Carlos Alcaraz wins by 2 sets or more Alcaraz by 2+ sets? Yes

as of · market-implied, not our prediction

Our take Below the market

Berrettini v Alcaraz

We give him 9 points less than the market

Matteo Berrettini breaks serve more often.

Our number updates every 15 minutes until an hour before the start, then stays fixed (as of 5 Nov, 01:09 UTC).

Show the numbers: players and head to head PlayersHead to head

Players i

Ranking, season record, form and the basics side by side. The green dot marks the better figure.

Players side by side
Matteo Berrettini Matteo Berrettini Berrettini No. 43 Fact Carlos Alcaraz Carlos Alcaraz Alcaraz No. 3
No. 43 Ranking (the better figure) No. 3
1,173 Ranking points (the better figure) 6,100
21–18 2026 record (the better figure) 33–5
WWLWW Last 5 matches WWWWW
30 Age 23
196 cm Height 183 cm
Italy Country Spain
2015 Turned pro 2018

Head to head i

Their completed tour-level meetings, latest first. Alcaraz leads 2–0.

Matteo Berrettini Matteo Berrettini Berrettini No. 43

0 2

Carlos Alcaraz Carlos Alcaraz Alcaraz No. 3
  1. 2023 JUL
    Wimbledon · Round of 16
    Berrettini 6333
    Alcaraz ✓ 3666
  2. 2022 FEB
    Rio de Janeiro · Quarter-final
    Berrettini 262
    Alcaraz ✓ 626

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