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TennisSao Paulo OpenDarja Semenistaja vs Hayu Kinoshita
SAO PAULO OPEN • ROUND OF 32 • SEP 15 · 13:30 UTC

Darja Semenistaja vs Hayu Kinoshita: Prediction, Odds & H2H

58%people predict42%
Live Polymarket prices · $16.1K traded across 17 markets
Starts in

Players

Who comes in stronger: ranking, season record, form and the basics side by side.
Darja Semenistaja leads the head-to-head 1–0· completed tour-level meetings
LL
Last 5 matches
WLLW
23
Age
19
169 cm
Height
🇱🇻 Latvia
Country
Japan 🇯🇵

Past Match-ups

Their most recent completed meetings, latest first.
Date Tournament Winner Score
AUG 25, 2026 US Open Darja SemenistajaDarja Semenistaja 6-2 7-5

What People Expect

Beyond the winner: the side markets on this match, in plain words.
How long does it go?
Straight sets

61%quoted, no trades yet
Who takes the first set?
Darja Semenistaja

56%quoted, no trades yet
How many games in total?
Under 22.5

57%quoted, no trades yet

Market Leading outcome
Set Handicap: Darja Semenistaja (-1.5) vs Hayu Kinoshita (+1.5)

Hayu Kinoshita 62% no trades
Set 1 Winner: Darja Semenistaja vs Hayu Kinoshita

Darja Semenistaja 56% no trades
Set 2 Winner: Darja Semenistaja vs Hayu Kinoshita

Darja Semenistaja 55% no trades
Darja Semenistaja vs. Hayu Kinoshita: Total Sets O/U 2.5

Under 2.5 61% no trades
Semenistaja vs. Kinoshita: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5

Under 55% no trades
Semenistaja vs. Kinoshita: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5

Under 55% no trades
Semenistaja vs. Kinoshita: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5

Under 55% no trades
Semenistaja vs. Kinoshita: Match O/U 22.5

Under 57% no trades
Semenistaja vs. Kinoshita: Match O/U 23.5

Under 59% no trades
Set Handicap: Hayu Kinoshita (-1.5) vs Darja Semenistaja (+1.5)

Darja Semenistaja 76% no trades
Game Spread: Darja Semenistaja (-1.5) vs Hayu Kinoshita (+1.5)

Hayu Kinoshita 72% no trades
5 more markets on this event have no quotes yet.

Live Odds

Prediction market probabilities from Polymarket, updated as market prices change.
Total Volume
$16.1K
24h Volume
$16.2K
7D
Darja SemenistajaDarja Semenistaja58%Hayu KinoshitaHayu Kinoshita42%

25%50%75%Sep 15Sep 15Sep 15Sep 1558%42%

source: Polymarket
Every percentage on this page is market-implied: it is the live price of a share on Polymarket, not a Predictionist model or a tip. They move with every trade and this page refreshes every hour. A 70% favorite still loses about three times in ten.

Latest Match Updates

Key movements in the prediction market odds.
Sao Paulo Open: Darja Semenistaja vs Hayu Kinoshita winner?SEP 15, 2026

Darja Semenistaja is priced at 58% to beat Hayu Kinoshita at Sao Paulo Open, with Hayu Kinoshita at 42%. Darja Semenistaja is the favorite, but Hayu Kinoshita is priced with a real shot. The price has held steady over the last 24 hours. Hayu Kinoshita has won 2 of the last 4. Head-to-head Darja Semenistaja leads 1-0. $16.1K has been traded on this match across 17 markets – set winners, totals and handicaps alongside the match winner. Prices are live Polymarket probabilities and move with every trade.

58%

• 0% 24H

News & Insights

No headlines about this match from our sources yet – stories land here as soon as they are published.

FAQ

What does 58% for Darja Semenistaja mean?
It is the live Polymarket price for a share that pays out if Darja Semenistaja beats Hayu Kinoshita. Read it as the market’s probability estimate: 58 in 100. It moves with every trade.
When does this market settle?
The market is scheduled to close around Sep 22, 2026 and resolves as soon as the match result is official. Winning shares pay $1 each.
How much money is on this match?
$16.1K has been traded across all 17 markets on this event so far, $16.2K of it in the last 24 hours.
Where do these numbers come from?
Straight from Polymarket’s public market data – Predictionist reads the same order book traders use. We refresh this page as the market moves and never adjust the numbers.

Sao Paulo Open: match winner?

$16.1K SEP 22, 2026

Match WinnerThe market resolves to the player who wins the match.
Darja SemenistajaDarja Semenistaja58.5%
Hayu KinoshitaHayu Kinoshita41.5%

Trade on Polymarket

Live prices from Polymarket