Their most recent completed meetings, latest first.
Date
Tournament
Winner
Score
FEB 18, 2026
Midland
Alina Charaeva
6-4 7-6(4)
JAN 17, 2025
W50 La Marsa
Xiaodi You
6-2 6-2
What People Expect
Beyond the winner: the side markets on this match, in plain words.
How long does it go?
Straight sets
63%quoted, no trades yet
Who takes the first set?
Alina Charaeva
63%quoted, no trades yet
How many games in total?
Under 21.5
54%quoted, no trades yet
Market
Leading outcome
Sao Paulo Open: Completed Match: Xiaodi You vs Alina Charaeva
Yes 50%
$1.9K
Set Handicap: Alina Charaeva (-1.5) vs Xiaodi You (+1.5)
Xiaodi You 53%
$416
Set 1 Winner: Xiaodi You vs Alina Charaeva
Alina Charaeva 63%
no trades
Xiaodi You vs. Alina Charaeva: Total Sets O/U 2.5
Under 2.5 63%
no trades
Set 2 Winner: Xiaodi You vs Alina Charaeva
Alina Charaeva 65%
no trades
You vs. Charaeva: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5
Over 63%
no trades
You vs. Charaeva: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5
Under 56%
no trades
You vs. Charaeva: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5
Under 76%
no trades
You vs. Charaeva: Match O/U 21.5
Under 54%
no trades
You vs. Charaeva: Match O/U 22.5
Under 60%
no trades
You vs. Charaeva: Match O/U 23.5
Under 60%
no trades
Game Spread: Alina Charaeva (-3.5) vs Xiaodi You (+3.5)
Alina Charaeva 55%
no trades
3 more markets on this event have no quotes yet.
Live Odds
Prediction market probabilities from Polymarket, updated as market prices change.
Total Volume
$12.3K
24h Volume
$9.7K
7D
Xiaodi You30%Alina Charaeva70%
source: Polymarket
Every percentage on this page is market-implied: it is the live price of a share on Polymarket, not a Predictionist model or a tip. They move with every trade and this page refreshes every hour. A 70% favorite still loses about three times in ten.
Latest Match Updates
Key movements in the prediction market odds.
Sao Paulo Open: Xiaodi You vs Alina Charaeva winner?SEP 15, 2026
Alina Charaeva is priced at 70% to beat Xiaodi You at Sao Paulo Open, with Xiaodi You at 30%. Alina Charaeva is the favorite, but Xiaodi You is priced with a real shot. The price has held steady over the last 24 hours. Xiaodi You has won 2 of the last 3. Head-to-head they are level at 1-1. $12.3K has been traded on this match across 16 markets – set winners, totals and handicaps alongside the match winner. Prices are live Polymarket probabilities and move with every trade.
70%
• 0% 24H
News & Insights
No headlines about this match from our sources yet – stories land here as soon as they are published.
FAQ
What does 30% for Xiaodi You mean?
It is the live Polymarket price for a share that pays out if Xiaodi You beats Alina Charaeva. Read it as the market’s probability estimate: 30 in 100. It moves with every trade.
When does this market settle?
The market is scheduled to close around Sep 21, 2026 and resolves as soon as the match result is official. Winning shares pay $1 each.
How much money is on this match?
$12.3K has been traded across all 16 markets on this event so far, $9.7K of it in the last 24 hours.
Where do these numbers come from?
Straight from Polymarket’s public market data – Predictionist reads the same order book traders use. We refresh this page as the market moves and never adjust the numbers.
