Matteo Berrettini World No. 46 · 
Italy 
Brandon Nakashima World No. 18 · 
USA Live Polymarket prices · $4.9K traded across 16 markets · as of 19:09 UTC
Matteo Berrettini (serving) Brandon Nakashima (serving) Who comes in stronger: ranking, season record, form and the basics side by side.
| Matteo Berrettini | Fact | Brandon Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| No. 46 | World ranking | No. 18 |
| 1,168 | Ranking points | 2,335 |
| 20–17 | 2026 record | 33–18 |
| WLWLW | Last 5 matches | LWLWL |
| 30 | Age | 25 |
| 196 cm | Height | 188 cm |
| Italy | Country | USA |
| 2015 | Turned pro | Not on record |
Their most recent completed meetings, latest first.
Head-to-head record not fetched yet.
Prediction market probabilities from Polymarket, as recorded over the life of the market.
Matteo Berrettini 41%
Brandon Nakashima 60%
Percentages show what people predict, not a tip. A 70% favourite still loses about three times in ten.
How the win chances moved before the match.
As of 8 October 2026, 19:09 UTC, Brandon Nakashima is priced at 60% to beat Matteo Berrettini at Shanghai Masters, with Matteo Berrettini at 41%. Brandon Nakashima is the favorite, but Matteo Berrettini is priced with a real shot. Prices are Polymarket probabilities and move with every trade.
60%
What is happening around Matteo Berrettini vs Brandon Nakashima - headlines from our approved sources, links go to the source.
No headlines about this match from our sources yet - stories land here as soon as they are published.
Other matches from this tournament.
Arthur Gea 54% 
Ugo Humbert 47% View match › Shanghai Masters Round of 64 Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli 
Adrian Mannarino 36% 
Flavio Cobolli 65% View match › Shanghai Masters Round of 64 Rei Sakamoto vs Andrey Rublev 
Rei Sakamoto 28% 
Andrey Rublev 72% View match › Shanghai Masters Round of 64 Ben Shelton vs Daniel Altmaier 
Ben Shelton 88% 
Daniel Altmaier 13% View match › Shanghai Masters Round of 64 Yannick Hanfmann vs Frances Tiafoe 
Yannick Hanfmann 30% 
Frances Tiafoe 71% View match › Shanghai Masters Round of 64 Quentin Halys vs Alexander Blockx 
Quentin Halys 46% 
Alexander Blockx 55% View match › Shanghai Masters Round of 64 Alexander Zverev vs Yibing Wu 
Alexander Zverev 88% 
Yibing Wu 13% View match › Shanghai Masters Round of 64 Alex de Minaur vs Alex Molcan 
Alex de Minaur 71% 
Alex Molcan 30% View match › Polymarket prices as of
Beyond the winner: the side markets on this match, in plain words.
How long does it go?
Straight sets
62%
quoted, no trades yet
Who takes the first set?
Brandon Nakashima
56%
quoted, no trades yet
How one-sided?
Matteo Berrettini wins, or loses by 1 set at most
62%
quoted, no trades yet
Prices as of 8 October 2026, 19:46 UTC. 16 markets on this event on Polymarket.