Alexander Bublik World No. 22 · 
Kazakhstan 
Tomas Machac World No. 75 · 
Czech Republic Live Polymarket prices · $5.1K traded across 16 markets · as of 19:48 UTC
Alexander Bublik (serving) Tomas Machac (serving) Who comes in stronger: ranking, season record, form and the basics side by side.
| Alexander Bublik | Fact | Tomas Machac |
|---|---|---|
| No. 22 | World ranking | No. 75 |
| 2,185 | Ranking points | 783 |
| 28–19 | 2026 record | 15–15 |
| WWLLL | Last 5 matches | LWLLW |
| 29 | Age | 25 |
| 196 cm | Height | 183 cm |
| Kazakhstan | Country | Czech Republic |
Their most recent completed meetings, latest first.
Head-to-head record not fetched yet.
Prediction market probabilities from Polymarket, as recorded over the life of the market.
Alexander Bublik 63%
Tomas Machac 38%
Percentages show what people predict, not a tip. A 70% favourite still loses about three times in ten.
How the win chances moved before the match.
As of 8 October 2026, 19:48 UTC, Alexander Bublik is priced at 63% to beat Tomas Machac at Shanghai Masters, with Tomas Machac at 38%. Alexander Bublik is the favorite, but Tomas Machac is priced with a real shot. Prices are Polymarket probabilities and move with every trade.
63%
What is happening around Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Machac - headlines from our approved sources, links go to the source.
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Other matches from this tournament.
Arthur Gea 54% 
Ugo Humbert 47% View match › Shanghai Masters Round of 64 Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli 
Adrian Mannarino 36% 
Flavio Cobolli 65% View match › Shanghai Masters Round of 64 Rei Sakamoto vs Andrey Rublev 
Rei Sakamoto 28% 
Andrey Rublev 72% View match › Shanghai Masters Round of 64 Ben Shelton vs Daniel Altmaier 
Ben Shelton 88% 
Daniel Altmaier 13% View match › Shanghai Masters Round of 64 Matteo Berrettini vs Brandon Nakashima 
Matteo Berrettini 41% 
Brandon Nakashima 60% View match › Shanghai Masters Round of 64 Yannick Hanfmann vs Frances Tiafoe 
Yannick Hanfmann 30% 
Frances Tiafoe 71% View match › Shanghai Masters Round of 64 Quentin Halys vs Alexander Blockx 
Quentin Halys 46% 
Alexander Blockx 55% View match › Shanghai Masters Round of 64 Alexander Zverev vs Yibing Wu 
Alexander Zverev 88% 
Yibing Wu 13% View match › Polymarket prices as of
Beyond the winner: the side markets on this match, in plain words.
How long does it go?
Straight sets
63%
quoted, no trades yet
Who takes the first set?
Alexander Bublik
60%
quoted, no trades yet
How one-sided?
Tomas Machac wins, or loses by 1 set at most
59%
quoted, no trades yet
Prices as of 8 October 2026, 19:16 UTC. 16 markets on this event on Polymarket.