Alex de Minaur World No. 9 · 
Australia 
Alex Molcan World No. 84 · 
Slovakia Live Polymarket prices · $65.6K traded across 16 markets · as of 19:04 UTC
Alex de Minaur (serving) Alex Molcan (serving) Who comes in stronger: ranking, season record, form and the basics side by side.
| Alex de Minaur | Fact | Alex Molcan |
|---|---|---|
| No. 9 | World ranking | No. 84 |
| 3,300 | Ranking points | 712 |
| 39–18 | 2026 record | 33–20 |
| WWWWL | Last 5 matches | WWWLW |
| 27 | Age | 28 |
| 183 cm | Height | 178 cm |
| Australia | Country | Slovakia |
| 2015 | Turned pro | Not on record |
Their most recent completed meetings, latest first.
Head-to-head record not fetched yet.
Prediction market probabilities from Polymarket, as recorded over the life of the market.
Alex de Minaur 71%
Alex Molcan 30%
Percentages show what people predict, not a tip. A 70% favourite still loses about three times in ten.
How the win chances moved before the match.
As of 8 October 2026, 19:04 UTC, Alex de Minaur is priced at 71% to beat Alex Molcan at Shanghai Masters, with Alex Molcan at 30%. Alex de Minaur is the favorite, but Alex Molcan is priced with a real shot. Prices are Polymarket probabilities and move with every trade.
71%
What is happening around Alex de Minaur vs Alex Molcan - headlines from our approved sources, links go to the source.
No headlines about this match from our sources yet - stories land here as soon as they are published.
Other matches from this tournament.
Arthur Gea 54% 
Ugo Humbert 47% View match › Shanghai Masters Round of 64 Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli 
Adrian Mannarino 36% 
Flavio Cobolli 65% View match › Shanghai Masters Round of 64 Rei Sakamoto vs Andrey Rublev 
Rei Sakamoto 28% 
Andrey Rublev 72% View match › Shanghai Masters Round of 64 Ben Shelton vs Daniel Altmaier 
Ben Shelton 88% 
Daniel Altmaier 13% View match › Shanghai Masters Round of 64 Matteo Berrettini vs Brandon Nakashima 
Matteo Berrettini 41% 
Brandon Nakashima 60% View match › Shanghai Masters Round of 64 Yannick Hanfmann vs Frances Tiafoe 
Yannick Hanfmann 30% 
Frances Tiafoe 71% View match › Shanghai Masters Round of 64 Quentin Halys vs Alexander Blockx 
Quentin Halys 46% 
Alexander Blockx 55% View match › Shanghai Masters Round of 64 Alexander Zverev vs Yibing Wu 
Alexander Zverev 88% 
Yibing Wu 13% View match › Polymarket prices as of
Beyond the winner: the side markets on this match, in plain words.
How long does it go?
Straight sets
65%
$10 traded
Who takes the first set?
Alex de Minaur
67%
quoted, no trades yet
How one-sided?
Alex Molcan keeps it within 4 games, or wins
57%
quoted, no trades yet
Prices as of 8 October 2026, 19:46 UTC. 16 markets on this event on Polymarket.