Shanghai Masters • Round of 128 • Hard • LIVE NOW

Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno-Busta Live Score & Win Chances

Mariano Navone Mariano Navone World No. 47 · Argentina Argentina
Pablo Carreno-Busta Pablo Carreno-Busta World No. 65 · Spain Spain
LIVE
Live In play Oct 8 · 06:20 UTC
Mariano Navone Mariano Navone
Pablo Carreno-Busta Pablo Carreno-Busta

Match Summary

How the match was won, set by set – the better number on each line is marked.

No match statistics on record for this one.

Players

Ranking, season record, form and the basics side by side.

Mariano Navone leads the head-to-head 1–0 · completed tour-level meetings

Players side by side
Mariano Navone Mariano Navone Fact Pablo Carreno-Busta Pablo Carreno-Busta
No. 47 World ranking No. 65
1,155 Ranking points 874
28–22 2026 record 29–19
LWWLL Last 5 matches LLWWL
25 Age 35
178 cm Height 188 cm
Argentina Argentina Country Spain Spain
Not on record Turned pro 2011

Past Match-ups

Their most recent completed meetings, latest first.

Navone 1 0 Carreno-Busta

  1. 2024 MAY
    ATP French Open · 1/64-finals
    Mariano Navone Navone ✓ 5666
    Pablo Carreno-Busta Carreno-Busta 7130

What People Expect

Beyond the winner: the side markets on this match, in plain words.

  • How many games in total?

    Over 23.5

    100%

    $1,793 traded

Prices as of 8 October 2026, 09:01 UTC. 16 markets on this event on Polymarket.

Live Win Chances

Prediction market probabilities from Polymarket, as recorded over the life of the market.

Total volume
$1.0M
24h volume
$1.1M
  • Mariano Navone 35%
  • Pablo Carreno Busta 65%
75% 50% 25% 35% 65% Oct 5 Oct 6 Oct 7 Oct 8
source: Polymarket · prices as of 8 October 2026, 09:06 UTC

Percentages show what people predict, not a tip. A 70% favourite still loses about three times in ten.

Latest Match Updates

How the win chances are moving.

Shanghai Masters: Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno-Busta winner? Oct 8, 2026

As of 8 October 2026, 09:06 UTC, Pablo Carreno Busta is priced at 65% to beat Mariano Navone at Shanghai Masters, with Mariano Navone at 35%. Pablo Carreno Busta is the favorite, but Mariano Navone is priced with a real shot. Over the last 24 hours the price moved 4 points toward Pablo Carreno Busta. Prices are Polymarket probabilities and move with every trade.

65% ▲ 4% 24h

Match Date and Time

Scheduled for . The order of play can shift with earlier matches on the same court.

News & Insights

What is happening around Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno-Busta - headlines from our approved sources, links go to the source.

No headlines about this match from our sources yet - stories land here as soon as they are published.