US OPEN WTA • FINAL • HARD • PLAYED SEP 12, 2026
Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina: Result & Final Score
57%people predicted · before the match43%
Settled at 100% · $3.1M traded across 16 markets
FINAL · Rybakina 6-4 5-7 6-2
FINALSEP 12, 2026final score
Match Summary
How the match was won, set by set – the better number on each line is marked.
Elena Rybakina beat Aryna Sabalenka 6-4 5-7 6-2: 12 aces, 3 of 12 break points, 53% of all points. Priced at 42% before the match.
MATCHSET 1SET 2SET 3
6
Aces
12
3
Double faults
5
58%
1st serve in
47%
43/6269%
1st serve points won
35/4185%
22/4450%
2nd serve points won
27/4659%
1/333%
Break points won
3/1225%
9/1275%
Break points saved
2/367%
32
Winners
36
35
Unforced errors
24
10/1567%
Net points won
10/1377%
25/8729%
Return points won
41/10639%
90/19347%
Total points won
103/19353%
12/1580%
Service games won
14/1593%
173 km/h
Avg 1st serve speed
181 km/h
145 km/h
Avg 2nd serve speed
149 km/h
1,413 m
Distance covered
1,521 m
3
Aces
3
2
Double faults
1
60%
1st serve in
27%
16/2176%
1st serve points won
7/888%
5/1436%
2nd serve points won
15/2268%
–
Break points won
1/520%
4/580%
Break points saved
–
12
Winners
10
15
Unforced errors
5
4/580%
Net points won
–
8/3027%
Return points won
14/3540%
29/6545%
Total points won
36/6555%
4/580%
Service games won
5/5100%
421 m
Distance covered
442 m
1
Aces
4
0
Double faults
2
64%
1st serve in
61%
19/2576%
1st serve points won
18/2378%
9/1464%
2nd serve points won
6/1540%
1/333%
Break points won
0/20%
2/2100%
Break points saved
2/367%
12
Winners
11
8
Unforced errors
13
6/875%
Net points won
6/967%
14/3837%
Return points won
11/3928%
42/7755%
Total points won
35/7745%
6/6100%
Service games won
5/683%
593 m
Distance covered
660 m
2
Aces
5
1
Double faults
2
50%
1st serve in
53%
8/1650%
1st serve points won
10/10100%
8/1650%
2nd serve points won
6/967%
–
Break points won
2/540%
3/560%
Break points saved
–
8
Winners
15
12
Unforced errors
6
0/20%
Net points won
4/4100%
3/1916%
Return points won
16/3250%
19/5137%
Total points won
32/5163%
2/450%
Service games won
4/4100%
399 m
Distance covered
419 m
Players
Ranking, season record, form and the basics side by side.
Aryna Sabalenka leads the head-to-head 6–4· completed tour-level meetings, this match included
No. 1
World ranking
No. 2
8,575
Ranking points
8,141
45–8
2026 record
47–13
28
Age
27
182 cm
Height
184 cm
🇧🇾 Belarus
Country
Russia 🇷🇺
2015
Turned pro
2014
Past Match-ups
Their most recent completed meetings, latest first.
| Date | Tournament | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| MAR 27, 2026 | Miami | |
6-4 6-3 |
| MAR 15, 2026 | WTA Indian Wells | |
3-6 6-3 7-6(6) |
| JAN 31, 2026 | WTA Australian Open | |
6-4 4-6 6-4 |
| NOV 8, 2025 | Finals – Riyadh | |
6-3 7-6(0) |
| OCT 10, 2025 | Wuhan | |
6-3 6-3 |
News & Insights
What is happening around Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina – headlines from our approved sources, links go to the source.
Insights
FAQ
What does 0% for Aryna Sabalenka mean?
It is the live Polymarket price for a share that pays out if Aryna Sabalenka beats Elena Rybakina. Read it as the market’s probability estimate: 0 in 100. It moves with every trade.
How did this market settle?
The market closed once the result was official and paid $1 a share to everyone holding the winner. The percentages on this page are the closing prices.
How much was traded on this match?
$3.1M has been traded across all 16 markets on this event so far, $2.9M of it in the last 24 hours.
Where do these numbers come from?
Straight from Polymarket’s public market data – Predictionist reads the same order book traders use. We refresh this page every hour and never adjust the numbers.
US Open WTA: market settled