How the match was won, set by set – the better number on each line is marked.
Luca Van Assche beat Cameron Norrie 6-7 6-2 6-2 6-3: 8 aces, 8 of 11 break points, 58% of all points. Priced at 34% before the match – an upset by prediction-market standards.
MATCHSET 1SET 2SET 3SET 4
Luca Van Assche
Cameron Norrie
8
Aces
6
5
Double faults
3
55%
1st serve in
67%
49/5884%
1st serve points won
43/7557%
24/4850%
2nd serve points won
16/3743%
8/1173%
Break points won
3/475%
1/425%
Break points saved
3/1127%
37
Winners
32
21
Unforced errors
49
7/978%
Net points won
14/3145%
54/11248%
Return points won
33/10631%
127/21858%
Total points won
91/21842%
16/1984%
Service games won
10/1856%
194 km/h
Avg 1st serve speed
183 km/h
150 km/h
Avg 2nd serve speed
145 km/h
2,750 m
Distance covered
2,468 m
Luca Van Assche
Cameron Norrie
2
Aces
3
2
Double faults
1
51%
1st serve in
63%
15/2075%
1st serve points won
14/2752%
7/1937%
2nd serve points won
9/1656%
2/450%
Break points won
2/2100%
0/20%
Break points saved
2/450%
7
Winners
14
10
Unforced errors
15
2/367%
Net points won
6/1155%
20/4347%
Return points won
17/3944%
42/8251%
Total points won
40/8249%
4/667%
Service games won
4/667%
1,023 m
Distance covered
935 m
Luca Van Assche
Cameron Norrie
2
Aces
0
1
Double faults
0
65%
1st serve in
65%
11/11100%
1st serve points won
9/1560%
5/683%
2nd serve points won
3/838%
2/2100%
Break points won
–
–
Break points saved
0/20%
12
Winners
5
3
Unforced errors
9
1/1100%
Net points won
0/30%
11/2348%
Return points won
1/176%
27/4068%
Total points won
13/4032%
4/4100%
Service games won
2/450%
490 m
Distance covered
402 m
Luca Van Assche
Cameron Norrie
2
Aces
2
0
Double faults
1
54%
1st serve in
73%
11/1479%
1st serve points won
9/1656%
7/1258%
2nd serve points won
2/633%
2/367%
Break points won
0/10%
1/1100%
Break points saved
1/333%
9
Winners
7
1
Unforced errors
11
1/1100%
Net points won
5/1242%
11/2250%
Return points won
8/2631%
29/4860%
Total points won
19/4840%
4/4100%
Service games won
2/450%
540 m
Distance covered
502 m
Luca Van Assche
Cameron Norrie
2
Aces
1
2
Double faults
1
54%
1st serve in
71%
12/1392%
1st serve points won
11/1765%
5/1145%
2nd serve points won
2/729%
2/2100%
Break points won
1/1100%
0/10%
Break points saved
0/20%
9
Winners
6
7
Unforced errors
14
3/475%
Net points won
3/560%
12/2450%
Return points won
7/2429%
29/4860%
Total points won
19/4840%
4/580%
Service games won
2/450%
697 m
Distance covered
629 m
Players
Ranking, season record, form and the basics side by side.
Cameron Norrie leads the head-to-head 3–2· completed tour-level meetings, this match included
It is the live Polymarket price for a share that pays out if Luca Van Assche beats Cameron Norrie. Read it as the market’s probability estimate: 100 in 100. It moves with every trade.
How did this market settle?
The market closed once the result was official and paid $1 a share to everyone holding the winner. The percentages on this page are the closing prices.
How much was traded on this match?
$572.8K has been traded across all 26 markets on this event so far.
Where do these numbers come from?
Straight from Polymarket’s public market data – Predictionist reads the same order book traders use. We refresh this page every hour and never adjust the numbers.
