US OPEN ATP • ROUND OF 32 • HARD • PLAYED SEP 4, 2026
Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul: Result & Final Score
60%people predicted · before the match40%
Settled at 100% · $2.2M traded across 26 markets
FINAL · Bublik 6-4 3-6 6-7 6-1 6-3
FINALSEP 4, 2026final score
Match Summary
How the match was won, set by set – the better number on each line is marked.
Alexander Bublik beat Tommy Paul 6-4 3-6 6-7 6-1 6-3: 10 aces, 6 of 8 break points, 54% of all points. Priced at 60% before the match.
MATCHSET 1SET 2SET 3SET 4SET 5
10
Aces
16
1
Double faults
6
66%
1st serve in
59%
71/9376%
1st serve points won
61/8572%
29/4860%
2nd serve points won
29/5850%
6/875%
Break points won
2/729%
5/771%
Break points saved
2/825%
44
Winners
41
35
Unforced errors
49
28/4267%
Net points won
25/4260%
53/14337%
Return points won
41/14129%
153/28454%
Total points won
131/28446%
21/2391%
Service games won
18/2475%
191 km/h
Avg 1st serve speed
193 km/h
160 km/h
Avg 2nd serve speed
158 km/h
2,890 m
Distance covered
2,467 m
2
Aces
3
0
Double faults
0
79%
1st serve in
58%
18/2282%
1st serve points won
13/1587%
3/650%
2nd serve points won
5/1145%
1/1100%
Break points won
–
–
Break points saved
0/10%
6
Winners
10
6
Unforced errors
9
3/743%
Net points won
3/475%
8/2631%
Return points won
7/2825%
29/5454%
Total points won
25/5446%
5/5100%
Service games won
4/580%
512 m
Distance covered
453 m
1
Aces
6
1
Double faults
1
60%
1st serve in
64%
12/1580%
1st serve points won
14/2167%
3/1030%
2nd serve points won
9/1275%
–
Break points won
1/333%
2/367%
Break points saved
–
6
Winners
10
8
Unforced errors
7
4/944%
Net points won
8/1173%
10/3330%
Return points won
10/2540%
25/5843%
Total points won
33/5857%
3/475%
Service games won
5/5100%
524 m
Distance covered
462 m
5
Aces
5
0
Double faults
1
60%
1st serve in
53%
19/2770%
1st serve points won
19/2383%
12/1867%
2nd serve points won
12/2060%
0/20%
Break points won
0/30%
3/3100%
Break points saved
2/2100%
12
Winners
14
10
Unforced errors
11
9/1369%
Net points won
8/1457%
12/4328%
Return points won
14/4531%
43/8849%
Total points won
45/8851%
6/6100%
Service games won
6/6100%
911 m
Distance covered
799 m
1
Aces
0
0
Double faults
1
50%
1st serve in
61%
7/1070%
1st serve points won
5/1145%
8/1080%
2nd serve points won
1/714%
3/3100%
Break points won
–
–
Break points saved
0/30%
11
Winners
1
7
Unforced errors
10
8/989%
Net points won
2/729%
12/1867%
Return points won
5/2025%
27/3871%
Total points won
11/3829%
3/3100%
Service games won
1/425%
472 m
Distance covered
379 m
1
Aces
2
0
Double faults
3
83%
1st serve in
65%
15/1979%
1st serve points won
10/1567%
3/475%
2nd serve points won
2/825%
2/2100%
Break points won
1/1100%
0/10%
Break points saved
0/20%
9
Winners
6
4
Unforced errors
12
4/4100%
Net points won
4/667%
11/2348%
Return points won
5/2322%
29/4663%
Total points won
17/4637%
4/580%
Service games won
2/450%
471 m
Distance covered
374 m
Players
Ranking, season record, form and the basics side by side.
Alexander Bublik leads the head-to-head 5–1· completed tour-level meetings, this match included
No. 16
World ranking
No. 21
2,525
Ranking points
2,225
28–18
2026 record
39–17
29
Age
29
196 cm
Height
185 cm
🇷🇺 Russia
Country
United States 🇺🇸
–
Turned pro
2015
Past Match-ups
Their most recent completed meetings, latest first.
| Date | Tournament | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| AUG 31, 2025 | US Open | |
7-6(5) 6-7(4) 6-3 6-7(5) 6-1 |
| MAR 22, 2025 | Miami | |
5-7 7-5 6-4 |
| JUL 5, 2024 | ATP Wimbledon | |
6-3 6-4 6-2 |
| MAR 4, 2021 | Rotterdam | |
6-7(5) 6-3 6-1 |
News & Insights
No headlines about this match from our sources yet – stories land here as soon as they are published.
FAQ
What does 0% for Alexander Bublik mean?
It is the live Polymarket price for a share that pays out if Alexander Bublik beats Tommy Paul. Read it as the market’s probability estimate: 0 in 100. It moves with every trade.
How did this market settle?
The market closed once the result was official and paid $1 a share to everyone holding the winner. The percentages on this page are the closing prices.
How much was traded on this match?
$2.2M has been traded across all 26 markets on this event so far.
Where do these numbers come from?
Straight from Polymarket’s public market data – Predictionist reads the same order book traders use. We refresh this page every hour and never adjust the numbers.
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