How the match was won, set by set – the better number on each line is marked.
Mariano Navone beat Novak Djokovic 7-6 5-7 4-6 6-2 6-1: 9 aces, 6 of 17 break points, 53% of all points. Priced at 18% before the match – an upset by prediction-market standards.
MATCHSET 1SET 2SET 3SET 4SET 5
Mariano Navone
Novak Djokovic
9
Aces
10
8
Double faults
10
63%
1st serve in
55%
70/9871%
1st serve points won
59/8669%
34/5859%
2nd serve points won
35/6951%
6/1735%
Break points won
4/1233%
8/1267%
Break points saved
11/1765%
36
Winners
46
34
Unforced errors
70
12/1675%
Net points won
23/4058%
61/15539%
Return points won
52/15633%
165/31153%
Total points won
146/31147%
21/2584%
Service games won
18/2475%
179 km/h
Avg 1st serve speed
183 km/h
145 km/h
Avg 2nd serve speed
152 km/h
3,874 m
Distance covered
3,300 m
Mariano Navone
Novak Djokovic
3
Aces
3
3
Double faults
3
46%
1st serve in
54%
13/1968%
1st serve points won
14/2167%
14/2264%
2nd serve points won
9/1850%
1/425%
Break points won
1/333%
2/367%
Break points saved
3/475%
9
Winners
9
8
Unforced errors
17
4/580%
Net points won
1/617%
16/3941%
Return points won
14/4134%
43/8054%
Total points won
37/8046%
5/683%
Service games won
5/683%
853 m
Distance covered
760 m
Mariano Navone
Novak Djokovic
2
Aces
4
1
Double faults
0
62%
1st serve in
62%
17/2471%
1st serve points won
15/1883%
7/1547%
2nd serve points won
9/1182%
–
Break points won
1/425%
3/475%
Break points saved
–
9
Winners
14
10
Unforced errors
8
5/683%
Net points won
8/1080%
5/2917%
Return points won
15/3938%
29/6843%
Total points won
39/6857%
5/683%
Service games won
6/6100%
915 m
Distance covered
775 m
Mariano Navone
Novak Djokovic
2
Aces
1
3
Double faults
2
76%
1st serve in
58%
18/2669%
1st serve points won
15/1883%
4/850%
2nd serve points won
7/1354%
0/10%
Break points won
1/250%
1/250%
Break points saved
1/1100%
2
Winners
9
9
Unforced errors
16
–
Net points won
6/6100%
9/3129%
Return points won
12/3435%
31/6548%
Total points won
34/6552%
4/580%
Service games won
5/5100%
835 m
Distance covered
736 m
Mariano Navone
Novak Djokovic
0
Aces
2
1
Double faults
4
76%
1st serve in
50%
13/1968%
1st serve points won
8/1553%
2/633%
2nd serve points won
7/1547%
3/838%
Break points won
1/333%
2/367%
Break points saved
5/862%
7
Winners
10
5
Unforced errors
17
1/250%
Net points won
6/1060%
18/3355%
Return points won
10/2540%
33/5857%
Total points won
25/5843%
3/475%
Service games won
1/425%
810 m
Distance covered
702 m
Mariano Navone
Novak Djokovic
2
Aces
0
0
Double faults
1
59%
1st serve in
54%
9/1090%
1st serve points won
7/1450%
7/7100%
2nd serve points won
3/1225%
2/450%
Break points won
–
–
Break points saved
2/450%
9
Winners
4
2
Unforced errors
12
2/367%
Net points won
2/825%
13/2357%
Return points won
1/176%
29/4072%
Total points won
11/4028%
4/4100%
Service games won
1/333%
461 m
Distance covered
327 m
Players
Ranking, season record, form and the basics side by side.
Mariano Navone leads the head-to-head 1–0· completed tour-level meetings, this match included
It is the live Polymarket price for a share that pays out if Mariano Navone beats Novak Djokovic. Read it as the market’s probability estimate: 100 in 100. It moves with every trade.
How did this market settle?
The market closed once the result was official and paid $1 a share to everyone holding the winner. The percentages on this page are the closing prices.
How much was traded on this match?
$3.0M has been traded across all 26 markets on this event so far.
Where do these numbers come from?
Straight from Polymarket’s public market data – Predictionist reads the same order book traders use. We refresh this page every hour and never adjust the numbers.
