How the match was won, set by set – the better number on each line is marked.
Stefanos Tsitsipas beat Arthur Fils 4-6 7-6 6-1 6-4: 14 aces, 5 of 12 break points, 52% of all points. Priced at 20% before the match – an upset by prediction-market standards.
MATCHSET 1SET 2SET 3SET 4
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Arthur Fils
14
Aces
10
7
Double faults
4
57%
1st serve in
62%
64/8179%
1st serve points won
50/7864%
27/6144%
2nd serve points won
28/4760%
5/1242%
Break points won
3/838%
5/862%
Break points saved
7/1258%
51
Winners
38
49
Unforced errors
37
25/3278%
Net points won
13/1681%
47/12538%
Return points won
53/14636%
140/27152%
Total points won
131/27148%
17/2085%
Service games won
14/1974%
199 km/h
Avg 1st serve speed
187 km/h
159 km/h
Avg 2nd serve speed
152 km/h
2,419 m
Distance covered
2,402 m
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Arthur Fils
2
Aces
3
2
Double faults
0
56%
1st serve in
53%
18/2475%
1st serve points won
13/1872%
7/1937%
2nd serve points won
11/1669%
0/30%
Break points won
1/520%
4/580%
Break points saved
3/3100%
11
Winners
14
19
Unforced errors
9
11/1573%
Net points won
6/6100%
10/3429%
Return points won
20/4743%
37/8146%
Total points won
44/8154%
4/580%
Service games won
5/5100%
782 m
Distance covered
780 m
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Arthur Fils
6
Aces
3
2
Double faults
1
58%
1st serve in
65%
22/2976%
1st serve points won
20/2677%
10/2148%
2nd serve points won
7/1450%
1/250%
Break points won
1/250%
1/250%
Break points saved
1/250%
19
Winners
10
13
Unforced errors
10
8/1080%
Net points won
4/580%
13/4032%
Return points won
18/5036%
45/9050%
Total points won
45/9050%
5/683%
Service games won
5/683%
723 m
Distance covered
782 m
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Arthur Fils
4
Aces
3
0
Double faults
1
45%
1st serve in
83%
8/1080%
1st serve points won
11/1958%
8/1267%
2nd serve points won
0/40%
2/367%
Break points won
–
–
Break points saved
1/333%
13
Winners
7
6
Unforced errors
7
2/2100%
Net points won
0/10%
12/2352%
Return points won
6/2227%
28/4562%
Total points won
17/4538%
4/4100%
Service games won
1/333%
347 m
Distance covered
321 m
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Arthur Fils
2
Aces
1
3
Double faults
2
67%
1st serve in
54%
16/1889%
1st serve points won
6/1540%
2/922%
2nd serve points won
10/1377%
2/450%
Break points won
1/1100%
0/10%
Break points saved
2/450%
8
Winners
7
11
Unforced errors
11
4/580%
Net points won
3/475%
12/2843%
Return points won
9/2733%
30/5555%
Total points won
25/5545%
4/580%
Service games won
3/560%
567 m
Distance covered
519 m
Players
Ranking, season record, form and the basics side by side.
Arthur Fils leads the head-to-head 4–1· completed tour-level meetings, this match included
It is the live Polymarket price for a share that pays out if Stefanos Tsitsipas beats Arthur Fils. Read it as the market’s probability estimate: 100 in 100. It moves with every trade.
How did this market settle?
The market closed once the result was official and paid $1 a share to everyone holding the winner. The percentages on this page are the closing prices.
How much was traded on this match?
$1.1M has been traded across all 26 markets on this event so far.
Where do these numbers come from?
Straight from Polymarket’s public market data – Predictionist reads the same order book traders use. We refresh this page every hour and never adjust the numbers.
