How the match was won, set by set – the better number on each line is marked.
Botic van de Zandschulp beat Alex de Minaur 6-4 7-5 6-2: 9 aces, 5 of 11 break points, 54% of all points. Priced at 26% before the match – an upset by prediction-market standards.
MATCHSET 1SET 2SET 3
Botic van de Zandschulp
Alex de Minaur
9
Aces
4
4
Double faults
7
58%
1st serve in
51%
46/6077%
1st serve points won
33/4967%
22/4450%
2nd serve points won
24/4751%
5/1145%
Break points won
1/520%
4/580%
Break points saved
6/1155%
27
Winners
23
21
Unforced errors
29
7/1164%
Net points won
6/1060%
40/9642%
Return points won
36/10435%
108/20054%
Total points won
92/20046%
14/1593%
Service games won
10/1567%
195 km/h
Avg 1st serve speed
194 km/h
153 km/h
Avg 2nd serve speed
159 km/h
2,324 m
Distance covered
2,142 m
Botic van de Zandschulp
Alex de Minaur
3
Aces
2
2
Double faults
3
50%
1st serve in
62%
14/1782%
1st serve points won
12/1867%
9/1753%
2nd serve points won
6/1155%
1/1100%
Break points won
0/10%
1/1100%
Break points saved
0/10%
8
Winners
8
7
Unforced errors
10
1/250%
Net points won
3/475%
11/2938%
Return points won
11/3432%
34/6354%
Total points won
29/6346%
5/5100%
Service games won
4/580%
628 m
Distance covered
622 m
Botic van de Zandschulp
Alex de Minaur
4
Aces
0
1
Double faults
1
67%
1st serve in
58%
16/2273%
1st serve points won
15/2365%
6/1155%
2nd serve points won
8/1747%
2/633%
Break points won
1/1100%
0/10%
Break points saved
4/667%
12
Winners
8
10
Unforced errors
11
4/757%
Net points won
2/450%
17/4042%
Return points won
11/3333%
39/7353%
Total points won
34/7347%
5/683%
Service games won
4/667%
932 m
Distance covered
836 m
Botic van de Zandschulp
Alex de Minaur
2
Aces
2
1
Double faults
3
57%
1st serve in
30%
16/2176%
1st serve points won
6/875%
7/1644%
2nd serve points won
10/1953%
2/450%
Break points won
0/30%
3/3100%
Break points saved
2/450%
7
Winners
7
4
Unforced errors
8
2/2100%
Net points won
1/250%
12/2744%
Return points won
14/3738%
35/6455%
Total points won
29/6445%
4/4100%
Service games won
2/450%
764 m
Distance covered
684 m
Players
Ranking, season record, form and the basics side by side.
Alex de Minaur leads the head-to-head 4–1· completed tour-level meetings, this match included
It is the live Polymarket price for a share that pays out if Botic van de Zandschulp beats Alex de Minaur. Read it as the market’s probability estimate: 100 in 100. It moves with every trade.
How did this market settle?
The market closed once the result was official and paid $1 a share to everyone holding the winner. The percentages on this page are the closing prices.
How much was traded on this match?
$741.0K has been traded across all 26 markets on this event so far.
Where do these numbers come from?
Straight from Polymarket’s public market data – Predictionist reads the same order book traders use. We refresh this page every hour and never adjust the numbers.
