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ATP • Sep 28 – Oct 4, 2026

Japan Open

US$2,226,470 prize money • ATP 500

Finished

ATP

Champions

How the tournament finished, and what people expected beforehand.

Overview

Japan Open Tennis Championships is a tennis tournament played on hard courts at Ariake Coliseum Musashino Forest Sports Plaza in Tokyo. Predictionist follows every match with a page of its own: what people predict, recent form, head-to-head records and the day-by-day schedule.

The venue is not in our data source yet, so it is not shown.

Tournament Snapshot

Japan Open ATP · Tokyo Sep 28 – Oct 4, 2026
Surface
Hard
City
Japan Tokyo, Japan
Prize money
$2,226,470
Category
ATP 500
Draw
32 players

Biggest upset: Valentin Vacherot (22%) beat Arthur Fils

Draw

The full draw as an archive: who won, on what day, and the win chance Polymarket traders gave the favourite before play. Two rounds at a time; the arrows move through.

32-player draw

R32 · 16

  1. 1 Carlos Alcaraz , won 746 Alex Michelsen 661
  2. Matteo Arnaldi , won 266 WC Rei Sakamoto 644
  3. Denis Shapovalov , won 76 WC Sho Shimabukuro 51
  4. Alejandro Tabilo , won 66 7 Tommy Paul 12
  5. 3 Taylor Fritz 743 Q Jaume Munar , won 666 Taylor Fritz 77%
  6. LL Jaime Faria , won 636 Arthur Fery 464 Jaime Faria 52%
  7. Holger Rune 31 Kyrian Jacquet , won 66
  8. Luciano Darderi , won 76 6 Casper Ruud 63
  9. 5 Brandon Nakashima 32 Ugo Humbert , won 66
  10. Jiri Lehecka , won 666 Zizou Bergs 373
  11. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 664 Matteo Berrettini , won 176
  12. Q Adolfo Vallejo , won 66 4 Rafael Jodar 13
  13. 8 Valentin Vacherot , won 77 Alexander Blockx 66
  14. Tomas Martin Etcheverry 634 Q Stefanos Tsitsipas , won 466
  15. Q Arthur Fils , won 66 Luca van Assche 32
  16. WC Kei Nishikori 44 2 Frances Tiafoe , won 66

R16 · 8

  1. 1 Carlos Alcaraz , won 76 Matteo Arnaldi 61 Carlos Alcaraz 93%
  2. Denis Shapovalov , won 736 Alejandro Tabilo 564 Denis Shapovalov 56%
  3. Jaume Munar , won 66 Jaime Faria 11
  4. Kyrian Jacquet , won 67 Luciano Darderi 36
  5. Ugo Humbert 744 Jiri Lehecka , won 566 Jiri Lehecka 60%
  6. Matteo Berrettini 61 Adolfo Vallejo , won 76
  7. 8 Valentin Vacherot , won 476 Stefanos Tsitsipas 664
  8. Arthur Fils , won 67 2 Frances Tiafoe 35 Arthur Fils 67%

QF · 4

  1. 1 Carlos Alcaraz , won 72 Denis Shapovalov 61 Carlos Alcaraz 89%
  2. Jaume Munar , won 66 Kyrian Jacquet 42 Jaume Munar 59%
  3. Jiri Lehecka , won 66 Adolfo Vallejo 11
  4. 8 Valentin Vacherot , won 746 Arthur Fils 564 Arthur Fils 76%

SF · 2

  1. 1 Carlos Alcaraz , won 566 Jaume Munar 731 Carlos Alcaraz 88%
  2. Jiri Lehecka , won 66 8 Valentin Vacherot 42 Jiri Lehecka 63%

Qualifying — the road to the main draw

Matches by day. Times are UTC.

Sep 28 · 8

  1. Rinky Hijikata , won 66 Camilo Ugo Carabelli 23
  2. Stefanos Tsitsipas , won 76 Yoshihito Nishioka 52
  3. Zachary Svajda 724 Aleksandar Kovacevic , won 666
  4. Arthur Fils , won 266 Martin Damm 611
  5. Jaume Munar , won 566 Marcos Giron 714
  6. Shintaro Mochizuki 24 Jaime Faria , won 66
  7. Adolfo Vallejo , won 66 Taro Daniel 32
  8. Lorenzo Sonego 52 Kamil Majchrzak , won 76

Sep 29 · 4

  1. Stefanos Tsitsipas , won 66 Rinky Hijikata 43
  2. Jaume Munar , won 66 Aleksandar Kovacevic 23
  3. Arthur Fils , won 636 Kamil Majchrzak 261
  4. Adolfo Vallejo , won 657 Jaime Faria 475

Form guide · the draw

How the field is playing.

Carlos Alcaraz is 28–3 on hard this season, the best record among them.

The draw, by ranking

World No. 3 Carlos Alcaraz · best record in the field

The highest-ranked players in the draw. Each row shows their last five results, oldest on the left, and their hard record this season.

Player Last five Hard, 2026
Carlos Alcaraz W W W W W 28–3
Frances Tiafoe W W L W L 27–13
Arthur Fils W W W W L 26–9
Taylor Fritz W L L L L 22–14
Rafael Jodar W L W W L 31–12
Valentin Vacherot L W W W L 13–12
Tommy Paul W W W L L 21–12
Brandon Nakashima L W L W L 27–13

28–3 Carlos Alcaraz on hard courts this season The best record among the 8 above

Who played

The Japan Open field.

Everyone in this draw, by ranking, with their latest result and how far they got here.

Matches

Every Japan Open match with a page of its own, open matches first, with the win chance the market gives each player.

ATP Singles 2 matches

Every ATP Singles match at Japan Open below has been played; each card opens its match page with the result.

News & Insights

What is happening around Japan Open - headlines from our approved sources, links go to the source.

Insights

Tournament Winner

Each player's chance to win the title, from Polymarket's winner market, at the time this page was built.

Polymarket runs no winner market for this tournament. It lists winner markets for the Grand Slams and the season finals only.