How the match was won, set by set – the better number on each line is marked.
Thiago Agustin Tirante beat Adrian Mannarino 4-6 3-6 6-3 6-3 6-3: 4 aces, 6 of 12 break points, 52% of all points. Priced at 30% before the match – an upset by prediction-market standards.
MATCHSET 1SET 2SET 3SET 4SET 5
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Adrian Mannarino
4
Aces
19
1
Double faults
16
59%
1st serve in
50%
61/8076%
1st serve points won
62/7682%
26/5646%
2nd serve points won
28/7537%
6/1250%
Break points won
4/1040%
6/1060%
Break points saved
6/1250%
23
Winners
45
53
Unforced errors
71
21/2875%
Net points won
6/967%
61/15140%
Return points won
49/13636%
148/28752%
Total points won
139/28748%
19/2383%
Service games won
17/2374%
172 km/h
Avg 1st serve speed
194 km/h
139 km/h
Avg 2nd serve speed
165 km/h
2,888 m
Distance covered
3,145 m
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Adrian Mannarino
0
Aces
6
1
Double faults
6
63%
1st serve in
49%
15/2075%
1st serve points won
18/2090%
3/1225%
2nd serve points won
7/2133%
1/714%
Break points won
2/540%
3/560%
Break points saved
6/786%
6
Winners
13
15
Unforced errors
15
7/7100%
Net points won
2/2100%
16/4139%
Return points won
14/3244%
34/7347%
Total points won
39/7353%
3/560%
Service games won
4/580%
651 m
Distance covered
713 m
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Adrian Mannarino
1
Aces
5
0
Double faults
2
52%
1st serve in
61%
7/1164%
1st serve points won
14/1782%
3/1030%
2nd serve points won
4/1136%
1/1100%
Break points won
2/2100%
0/20%
Break points saved
0/10%
3
Winners
9
12
Unforced errors
13
3/650%
Net points won
–
10/2836%
Return points won
11/2152%
20/4941%
Total points won
29/4959%
2/450%
Service games won
4/580%
434 m
Distance covered
482 m
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Adrian Mannarino
0
Aces
1
0
Double faults
2
59%
1st serve in
40%
14/1974%
1st serve points won
8/1080%
8/1362%
2nd serve points won
7/1547%
1/1100%
Break points won
0/10%
1/1100%
Break points saved
0/10%
6
Winners
4
14
Unforced errors
18
6/786%
Net points won
0/10%
10/2540%
Return points won
10/3231%
32/5756%
Total points won
25/5744%
5/5100%
Service games won
3/475%
754 m
Distance covered
840 m
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Adrian Mannarino
1
Aces
5
0
Double faults
5
67%
1st serve in
42%
11/1669%
1st serve points won
12/1580%
6/875%
2nd serve points won
7/2133%
2/2100%
Break points won
0/20%
2/2100%
Break points saved
0/20%
4
Winners
12
5
Unforced errors
15
2/450%
Net points won
2/450%
17/3647%
Return points won
7/2429%
34/6057%
Total points won
26/6043%
4/4100%
Service games won
3/560%
592 m
Distance covered
631 m
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Adrian Mannarino
2
Aces
2
0
Double faults
1
52%
1st serve in
67%
14/14100%
1st serve points won
10/1471%
6/1346%
2nd serve points won
3/743%
1/1100%
Break points won
–
–
Break points saved
0/10%
4
Winners
7
7
Unforced errors
10
3/475%
Net points won
2/2100%
8/2138%
Return points won
7/2726%
28/4858%
Total points won
20/4842%
5/5100%
Service games won
3/475%
457 m
Distance covered
479 m
Players
Ranking, season record, form and the basics side by side.
Thiago Agustin Tirante leads the head-to-head 1–0· completed tour-level meetings, this match included
It is the live Polymarket price for a share that pays out if Thiago Agustin Tirante beats Adrian Mannarino. Read it as the market’s probability estimate: 0 in 100. It moves with every trade.
How did this market settle?
The market closed once the result was official and paid $1 a share to everyone holding the winner. The percentages on this page are the closing prices.
How much was traded on this match?
$920.7K has been traded across all 26 markets on this event so far.
Where do these numbers come from?
Straight from Polymarket’s public market data – Predictionist reads the same order book traders use. We refresh this page every hour and never adjust the numbers.
