US OPEN WTA • SEMIFINAL • HARD • PLAYED SEP 10, 2026
Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula: Result & Final Score
64%people predicted · before the match36%
Settled at 100% · $1.4M traded across 16 markets
FINAL · Sabalenka 7-5 6-2
FINALSEP 10, 2026final score
Match Summary
How the match was won, set by set – the better number on each line is marked.
Aryna Sabalenka beat Jessica Pegula 7-5 6-2: 7 aces, 3 of 8 break points, 55% of all points. Priced at 64% before the match.
MATCHSET 1SET 2
7
Aces
4
3
Double faults
0
64%
1st serve in
68%
28/3874%
1st serve points won
32/4178%
14/2167%
2nd serve points won
5/1926%
3/838%
Break points won
0/10%
1/1100%
Break points saved
5/862%
29
Winners
12
22
Unforced errors
14
7/1164%
Net points won
1/617%
23/6038%
Return points won
17/5929%
65/11955%
Total points won
54/11945%
10/10100%
Service games won
7/1070%
176 km/h
Avg 1st serve speed
161 km/h
149 km/h
Avg 2nd serve speed
136 km/h
856 m
Distance covered
890 m
4
Aces
2
2
Double faults
0
70%
1st serve in
74%
19/2673%
1st serve points won
19/2383%
7/1164%
2nd serve points won
3/838%
1/333%
Break points won
0/10%
1/1100%
Break points saved
2/367%
17
Winners
6
12
Unforced errors
5
3/650%
Net points won
0/20%
9/3129%
Return points won
11/3730%
35/6851%
Total points won
33/6849%
6/6100%
Service games won
5/683%
455 m
Distance covered
463 m
3
Aces
2
1
Double faults
0
55%
1st serve in
62%
9/1275%
1st serve points won
13/1872%
7/1070%
2nd serve points won
2/1118%
2/540%
Break points won
–
–
Break points saved
3/560%
12
Winners
6
10
Unforced errors
9
4/580%
Net points won
1/425%
14/2948%
Return points won
6/2227%
30/5159%
Total points won
21/5141%
4/4100%
Service games won
2/450%
401 m
Distance covered
427 m
Players
Ranking, season record, form and the basics side by side.
Aryna Sabalenka leads the head-to-head 7–3· completed tour-level meetings, this match included
No. 1
World ranking
No. 3
8,575
Ranking points
7,265
45–8
2026 record
50–12
WWWWW
Last 5 matches
WWWWL
28
Age
32
182 cm
Height
170 cm
🇧🇾 Belarus
Country
United States 🇺🇸
2015
Turned pro
2009
Past Match-ups
Their most recent completed meetings, latest first.
| Date | Tournament | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| JUN 20, 2026 | Berlin | |
6-4 6-7(4) 6-0 |
| NOV 4, 2025 | Finals – Riyadh | |
6-4 2-6 6-3 |
| OCT 11, 2025 | Wuhan | |
2-6 6-4 7-6(2) |
| SEP 5, 2025 | US Open | |
4-6 6-3 6-4 |
| MAR 29, 2025 | Miami | |
7-5 6-2 |
News & Insights
What is happening around Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula – headlines from our approved sources, links go to the source.
Insights
FAQ
What does 100% for Aryna Sabalenka mean?
It is the live Polymarket price for a share that pays out if Aryna Sabalenka beats Jessica Pegula. Read it as the market’s probability estimate: 100 in 100. It moves with every trade.
How did this market settle?
The market closed once the result was official and paid $1 a share to everyone holding the winner. The percentages on this page are the closing prices.
How much was traded on this match?
$1.4M has been traded across all 16 markets on this event so far, $1.4M of it in the last 24 hours.
Where do these numbers come from?
Straight from Polymarket’s public market data – Predictionist reads the same order book traders use. We refresh this page every hour and never adjust the numbers.
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