How the match was won, set by set – the better number on each line is marked.
Dane Sweeny beat Lorenzo Musetti 3-6 6-1 6-2 6-2: 5 aces, 8 of 17 break points, 56% of all points. Priced at 6% before the match – an upset by prediction-market standards.
MATCHSET 1SET 2SET 3SET 4
Dane Sweeny
Lorenzo Musetti
5
Aces
6
2
Double faults
7
70%
1st serve in
68%
47/7166%
1st serve points won
41/7555%
19/3161%
2nd serve points won
17/3647%
8/1747%
Break points won
3/1030%
7/1070%
Break points saved
9/1753%
36
Winners
31
28
Unforced errors
40
26/3770%
Net points won
10/1759%
53/11148%
Return points won
36/10235%
119/21356%
Total points won
94/21344%
13/1681%
Service games won
8/1650%
165 km/h
Avg 1st serve speed
175 km/h
138 km/h
Avg 2nd serve speed
144 km/h
2,920 m
Distance covered
2,681 m
Dane Sweeny
Lorenzo Musetti
1
Aces
4
0
Double faults
1
60%
1st serve in
72%
8/1553%
1st serve points won
15/2365%
8/1080%
2nd serve points won
7/978%
–
Break points won
1/250%
1/250%
Break points saved
–
9
Winners
13
5
Unforced errors
7
7/1164%
Net points won
4/580%
10/3231%
Return points won
9/2536%
26/5746%
Total points won
31/5754%
3/475%
Service games won
5/5100%
847 m
Distance covered
816 m
Dane Sweeny
Lorenzo Musetti
0
Aces
0
1
Double faults
2
64%
1st serve in
67%
13/1681%
1st serve points won
8/1267%
4/944%
2nd serve points won
0/60%
2/367%
Break points won
0/10%
1/1100%
Break points saved
1/333%
9
Winners
4
5
Unforced errors
8
8/1080%
Net points won
–
10/1856%
Return points won
8/2532%
27/4363%
Total points won
16/4337%
4/4100%
Service games won
1/333%
479 m
Distance covered
478 m
Dane Sweeny
Lorenzo Musetti
2
Aces
0
1
Double faults
3
70%
1st serve in
61%
11/2152%
1st serve points won
8/2236%
5/956%
2nd serve points won
6/1443%
4/944%
Break points won
2/540%
3/560%
Break points saved
5/956%
11
Winners
9
10
Unforced errors
15
9/1464%
Net points won
6/1060%
22/3661%
Return points won
14/3047%
38/6658%
Total points won
28/6642%
2/450%
Service games won
0/40%
1,069 m
Distance covered
895 m
Dane Sweeny
Lorenzo Musetti
2
Aces
2
0
Double faults
1
86%
1st serve in
72%
15/1979%
1st serve points won
10/1856%
2/367%
2nd serve points won
4/757%
2/540%
Break points won
0/20%
2/2100%
Break points saved
3/560%
7
Winners
5
8
Unforced errors
10
2/2100%
Net points won
0/20%
11/2544%
Return points won
5/2223%
28/4760%
Total points won
19/4740%
4/4100%
Service games won
2/450%
525 m
Distance covered
492 m
Players
Ranking, season record, form and the basics side by side.
Dane Sweeny leads the head-to-head 1–0· completed tour-level meetings, this match included
It is the live Polymarket price for a share that pays out if Dane Sweeny beats Lorenzo Musetti. Read it as the market’s probability estimate: 100 in 100. It moves with every trade.
How did this market settle?
The market closed once the result was official and paid $1 a share to everyone holding the winner. The percentages on this page are the closing prices.
How much was traded on this match?
$726.0K has been traded across all 26 markets on this event so far.
Where do these numbers come from?
Straight from Polymarket’s public market data – Predictionist reads the same order book traders use. We refresh this page every hour and never adjust the numbers.
