SHANGHAI • SEMIFINAL • HARD • PLAYED SEP 12, 2026
Luca Castelnuovo vs Ilya Ivashka: Result & Final Score
🇨🇭 Switzerland
II
🇧🇾 Belarus
24%people predicted · before the match76%
Settled at 100% · $190.2K traded across 17 markets
FINAL · Ivashka 6-3 6-4
FINALSEP 12, 2026final score
IIIlya Ivashka✓66
Match Summary
How the match was won, set by set – the better number on each line is marked.
Ilya Ivashka beat Luca Castelnuovo 6-3 6-4: 2 aces, 3 of 6 break points, 58% of all points. Priced at 76% before the match.
MATCHSET 1SET 2
IIIlya Ivashka
4
Aces
2
1
Double faults
0
59%
1st serve in
72%
24/3569%
1st serve points won
31/4176%
8/2433%
2nd serve points won
9/1656%
1/333%
Break points won
3/650%
3/650%
Break points saved
2/367%
17/5730%
Return points won
27/5946%
49/11642%
Total points won
67/11658%
6/967%
Service games won
9/1090%
IIIlya Ivashka
1
Aces
1
0
Double faults
0
43%
1st serve in
63%
7/1070%
1st serve points won
12/1771%
4/1331%
2nd serve points won
6/1060%
1/1100%
Break points won
2/2100%
0/20%
Break points saved
0/10%
9/2733%
Return points won
12/2352%
20/5040%
Total points won
30/5060%
2/450%
Service games won
4/580%
IIIlya Ivashka
3
Aces
1
1
Double faults
0
69%
1st serve in
80%
17/2568%
1st serve points won
19/2479%
4/1136%
2nd serve points won
3/650%
0/20%
Break points won
1/425%
3/475%
Break points saved
2/2100%
8/3027%
Return points won
15/3642%
29/6644%
Total points won
37/6656%
4/580%
Service games won
5/5100%
Players
Ranking, season record, form and the basics side by side.
First meeting on record · no completed tour-level matches between them
IIIlya Ivashka
9–13
2026 record
25–12
29
Age
32
–
Height
196 cm
🇨🇭 Switzerland
Country
Belarus 🇧🇾
–
Turned pro
2013
Past Match-ups
No previous meetings between these players on record.
News & Insights
No headlines about this match from our sources yet – stories land here as soon as they are published.
FAQ
What does 0% for Luca Castelnuovo mean?
It is the live Polymarket price for a share that pays out if Luca Castelnuovo beats Ilya Ivashka. Read it as the market’s probability estimate: 0 in 100. It moves with every trade.
How did this market settle?
The market closed once the result was official and paid $1 a share to everyone holding the winner. The percentages on this page are the closing prices.
How much was traded on this match?
$190.2K has been traded across all 17 markets on this event so far, $190.2K of it in the last 24 hours.
Where do these numbers come from?
Straight from Polymarket’s public market data – Predictionist reads the same order book traders use. We refresh this page every hour and never adjust the numbers.
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Shanghai: market settled
IIIlya Ivashka ✓100%