No previous meetings between these players on record.
What People Expect
Beyond the winner: the side markets on this match, in plain words.
How long does it go?
Straight sets
72%quoted, no trades yet
Who takes the first set?
Paula Badosa
80%quoted, no trades yet
How many games in total?
Under 21.5
62%quoted, no trades yet
Market
Leading outcome
Game Spread: Paula Badosa (-5.5) vs Darja Semenistaja (+5.5)
Paula Badosa 54%
no trades
Semenistaja vs. Badosa: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5
Under 68%
no trades
Darja Semenistaja vs. Paula Badosa: Total Sets O/U 2.5
Under 2.5 72%
no trades
Set 1 Winner: Darja Semenistaja vs Paula Badosa
Paula Badosa 80%
no trades
Set 2 Winner: Darja Semenistaja vs Paula Badosa
Darja Semenistaja 57%
no trades
Semenistaja vs. Badosa: Match O/U 21.5
Under 62%
no trades
Semenistaja vs. Badosa: Match O/U 22.5
Under 64%
no trades
Semenistaja vs. Badosa: Match O/U 23.5
Under 68%
no trades
Set Handicap: Paula Badosa (-1.5) vs Darja Semenistaja (+1.5)
Paula Badosa 66%
no trades
6 more markets on this event have no quotes yet.
Live Odds
Prediction market probabilities from Polymarket, updated as market prices change.
Total Volume
$68
24h Volume
$68
7D
Darja Semenistaja14%Paula Badosa86%
source: Polymarket
Every percentage on this page is market-implied: it is the live price of a share on Polymarket, not a Predictionist model or a tip. They move with every trade and this page refreshes every hour. A 70% favorite still loses about three times in ten.
Latest Match Updates
Key movements in the prediction market odds.
Sao Paulo Open: Darja Semenistaja vs Paula Badosa winner?SEP 14, 2026
Paula Badosa is priced at 86% to beat Darja Semenistaja at Sao Paulo Open, with Darja Semenistaja at 14%. That is a heavy favorite's price – traders give Darja Semenistaja little chance. The price has held steady over the last 24 hours. $68 has been traded on this match across 16 markets – set winners, totals and handicaps alongside the match winner. Prices are live Polymarket probabilities and move with every trade.
86%
• 0% 24H
News & Insights
No headlines about this match from our sources yet – stories land here as soon as they are published.
FAQ
What does 14% for Darja Semenistaja mean?
It is the live Polymarket price for a share that pays out if Darja Semenistaja beats Paula Badosa. Read it as the market’s probability estimate: 14 in 100. It moves with every trade.
When does this market settle?
The market is scheduled to close around Sep 21, 2026 and resolves as soon as the match result is official. Winning shares pay $1 each.
How much money is on this match?
$68 has been traded across all 16 markets on this event so far, $68 of it in the last 24 hours.
Where do these numbers come from?
Straight from Polymarket’s public market data – Predictionist reads the same order book traders use. We refresh this page every hour and never adjust the numbers.
