SAO PAULO OPEN • ROUND OF 32 • HARD • SEP 15 · 13:00 UTC
Mary Stoiana vs Claire Liu: Prediction, Odds & H2H
45%people predict55%
Live Polymarket prices · $609 traded across 16 markets
Starts in …
Players
Who comes in stronger: ranking, season record, form and the basics side by side.
First meeting on record · no completed tour-level matches between them
–
2026 record
18–12
LWL
Last 5 matches
WWWWW
23
Age
26
–
Height
170 cm
🇺🇸 United States
Country
United States 🇺🇸
–
Turned pro
2015
Past Match-ups
No previous meetings between these players on record.
What People Expect
Beyond the winner: the side markets on this match, in plain words.
How long does it go?
Straight sets
60%quoted, no trades yet
Who takes the first set?
Claire Liu
52%quoted, no trades yet
How many games in total?
Under 22.5
55%quoted, no trades yet
| Market | Leading outcome | |
|---|---|---|
| Set 1 Winner: Mary Stoiana vs Claire Liu | Claire Liu 52% | no trades |
| Set 2 Winner: Mary Stoiana vs Claire Liu | Claire Liu 54% | no trades |
| Mary Stoiana vs. Claire Liu: Total Sets O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 60% | no trades |
| Stoiana vs. Liu: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 | Under 64% | no trades |
| Stoiana vs. Liu: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 | Over 54% | no trades |
| Stoiana vs. Liu: Match O/U 22.5 | Under 55% | no trades |
| Set Handicap: Claire Liu (-1.5) vs Mary Stoiana (+1.5) | Mary Stoiana 66% | no trades |
8 more markets on this event have no quotes yet.
Live Odds
Prediction market probabilities from Polymarket, updated as market prices change.
Total Volume
$609
24h Volume
$609
7D


source: Polymarket
Every percentage on this page is market-implied: it is the live price of a share on Polymarket, not a Predictionist model or a tip. They move with every trade and this page refreshes every hour. A 70% favorite still loses about three times in ten.
Latest Match Updates
Key movements in the prediction market odds.
Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Claire Liu winner?SEP 14, 2026
Claire Liu is priced at 55% to beat Mary Stoiana at Sao Paulo Open, with Mary Stoiana at 45%. Claire Liu is the favorite, but Mary Stoiana is priced with a real shot. The price has held steady over the last 24 hours. Mary Stoiana has won 1 of the last 3 and Claire Liu has won 5 of the last 5. $609 has been traded on this match across 16 markets – set winners, totals and handicaps alongside the match winner. Prices are live Polymarket probabilities and move with every trade.
55%
• 0% 24H
News & Insights
No headlines about this match from our sources yet – stories land here as soon as they are published.
FAQ
What does 45% for Mary Stoiana mean?
It is the live Polymarket price for a share that pays out if Mary Stoiana beats Claire Liu. Read it as the market’s probability estimate: 45 in 100. It moves with every trade.
When does this market settle?
The market is scheduled to close around Sep 21, 2026 and resolves as soon as the match result is official. Winning shares pay $1 each.
How much money is on this match?
$609 has been traded across all 16 markets on this event so far, $609 of it in the last 24 hours.
Where do these numbers come from?
Straight from Polymarket’s public market data – Predictionist reads the same order book traders use. We refresh this page every hour and never adjust the numbers.















