Their most recent completed meetings, latest first.
Date
Tournament
Winner
Score
OCT 15, 2025
Shenzhen 4
KUKaichi Uchida
5-7 6-4 6-3
AUG 28, 2025
Zhangjiagang
KUKaichi Uchida
6-1 7-6(4)
JUL 21, 2024
Chicago Challenger Men
Rio Noguchi
6-0 6-1
JAN 9, 2024
Nonthaburi 2 Challenger Men
Rio Noguchi
5-7 6-2 7-6(1)
JAN 1, 2024
Nonthaburi Challenger Men
Rio Noguchi
6-7(4) 6-1 6-2
What People Expect
Beyond the winner: the side markets on this match, in plain words.
How long does it go?
Straight sets
70%quoted, no trades yet
Who takes the first set?
Rio Noguchi
74%quoted, no trades yet
How many games in total?
Under 21.5
57%quoted, no trades yet
Market
Leading outcome
Uchida vs. Noguchi: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5
Under 61%
no trades
Set 1 Winner: Kaichi Uchida vs Rio Noguchi
Rio Noguchi 74%
no trades
Kaichi Uchida vs. Rio Noguchi: Total Sets O/U 2.5
Under 2.5 70%
no trades
Uchida vs. Noguchi: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5
Over 55%
no trades
Uchida vs. Noguchi: Match O/U 21.5
Under 57%
no trades
Uchida vs. Noguchi: Match O/U 22.5
Under 52%
no trades
Uchida vs. Noguchi: Match O/U 23.5
Under 52%
no trades
Set Handicap: Rio Noguchi (-1.5) vs Kaichi Uchida (+1.5)
Rio Noguchi 60%
no trades
Game Spread: Rio Noguchi (-5.5) vs Kaichi Uchida (+5.5)
Kaichi Uchida 57%
no trades
6 more markets on this event have no quotes yet.
Live Odds
Prediction market probabilities from Polymarket, updated as market prices change.
Total Volume
$305
24h Volume
$305
7D
KUKaichi Uchida18%Rio Noguchi82%
source: Polymarket
Every percentage on this page is market-implied: it is the live price of a share on Polymarket, not a Predictionist model or a tip. They move with every trade and this page refreshes every hour. A 70% favorite still loses about three times in ten.
Latest Match Updates
Key movements in the prediction market odds.
Guangzhou: Kaichi Uchida vs Rio Noguchi winner?SEP 14, 2026
Rio Noguchi is priced at 82% to beat Kaichi Uchida at Guangzhou, with Kaichi Uchida at 18%. That is a heavy favorite's price – traders give Kaichi Uchida little chance. Over the last 24 hours the price moved 2 points toward Rio Noguchi. Head-to-head they are level at 3-3. $305 has been traded on this match across 16 markets – set winners, totals and handicaps alongside the match winner. Prices are live Polymarket probabilities and move with every trade.
82%
▲ 2% 24H
News & Insights
No headlines about this match from our sources yet – stories land here as soon as they are published.
FAQ
What does 18% for Kaichi Uchida mean?
It is the live Polymarket price for a share that pays out if Kaichi Uchida beats Rio Noguchi. Read it as the market’s probability estimate: 18 in 100. It moves with every trade.
When does this market settle?
The market is scheduled to close around Sep 21, 2026 and resolves as soon as the match result is official. Winning shares pay $1 each.
How much money is on this match?
$305 has been traded across all 16 markets on this event so far, $305 of it in the last 24 hours.
Where do these numbers come from?
Straight from Polymarket’s public market data – Predictionist reads the same order book traders use. We refresh this page every hour and never adjust the numbers.
