Location:

Bediam Court, Gibraltar, GX11 1AA

TennisGuangzhouLuca Castelnuovo vs Omar Jasika
GUANGZHOU • ROUND OF 32 • HARD • SEP 15 · 08:00 UTC

Luca Castelnuovo vs Omar Jasika: Prediction, Odds & H2H

42%people predict58%
Live Polymarket prices · $0 traded across 16 markets
Starts in

Players

Who comes in stronger: ranking, season record, form and the basics side by side.
Luca Castelnuovo leads the head-to-head 1–0· completed tour-level meetings
9–13
2026 record
11–16
WWWWL
Last 5 matches
LWWWL
29
Age
29
Height
183 cm
🇨🇭 Switzerland
Country
Australia 🇦🇺

Past Match-ups

Their most recent completed meetings, latest first.
Date Tournament Winner Score
SEP 9, 2025 Guangzhou 2 Luca CastelnuovoLuca Castelnuovo 7-6(2) 7-6(4)

What People Expect

Only the match-winner market is open on this match right now.

Live Odds

Prediction market probabilities from Polymarket, updated as market prices change.
Total Volume
$0
7D
Luca CastelnuovoLuca Castelnuovo42%Omar JasikaOmar Jasika58%

25%50%75%Sep 13Sep 13Sep 13Sep 1342%58%

source: Polymarket
Every percentage on this page is market-implied: it is the live price of a share on Polymarket, not a Predictionist model or a tip. They move with every trade and this page refreshes every hour. A 70% favorite still loses about three times in ten.

Latest Match Updates

Key movements in the prediction market odds.
Guangzhou: Luca Castelnuovo vs Omar Jasika winner?SEP 14, 2026

Omar Jasika is priced at 58% to beat Luca Castelnuovo at Guangzhou, with Luca Castelnuovo at 42%. Omar Jasika is the favorite, but Luca Castelnuovo is priced with a real shot. Over the last 24 hours the price moved 4 points toward Luca Castelnuovo. Luca Castelnuovo has won 4 of the last 5 and Omar Jasika has won 3 of the last 5. Head-to-head Luca Castelnuovo leads 1-0. $0 has been traded on this match across 16 markets – set winners, totals and handicaps alongside the match winner. Prices are live Polymarket probabilities and move with every trade.

58%

▼ 4% 24H

News & Insights

No headlines about this match from our sources yet – stories land here as soon as they are published.

FAQ

What does 42% for Luca Castelnuovo mean?
It is the live Polymarket price for a share that pays out if Luca Castelnuovo beats Omar Jasika. Read it as the market’s probability estimate: 42 in 100. It moves with every trade.
When does this market settle?
The market is scheduled to close around Sep 21, 2026 and resolves as soon as the match result is official. Winning shares pay $1 each.
How much money is on this match?
$0 has been traded across all 16 markets on this event so far.
Where do these numbers come from?
Straight from Polymarket’s public market data – Predictionist reads the same order book traders use. We refresh this page every hour and never adjust the numbers.

Guangzhou: match winner?

$0 SEP 21, 2026

Match WinnerThe market resolves to the player who wins the match.
Luca CastelnuovoLuca Castelnuovo41.5%
Omar JasikaOmar Jasika58.5%

Trade on Polymarket

Live prices from Polymarket