No previous meetings between these players on record.
What People Expect
Beyond the winner: the side markets on this match, in plain words.
Who takes the first set?
Gianluca Cadenasso
59%quoted, no trades yet
How many games in total?
Over 21.5
52%quoted, no trades yet
Market
Leading outcome
Set 1 Winner: Matthew William Donald vs Gianluca Cadenasso
Gianluca Cadenasso 59%
no trades
Set 2 Winner: Matthew William Donald vs Gianluca Cadenasso
Matthew William Donald 66%
no trades
Donald vs. Cadenasso: Match O/U 21.5
Over 52%
no trades
Donald vs. Cadenasso: Match O/U 23.5
Under 52%
no trades
12 more markets on this event have no quotes yet.
Live Odds
Prediction market probabilities from Polymarket, updated as market prices change.
Total Volume
$170
24h Volume
$170
7D
Matthew William Donald38%Gianluca Cadenasso62%
source: Polymarket
Every percentage on this page is market-implied: it is the live price of a share on Polymarket, not a Predictionist model or a tip. They move with every trade and this page refreshes every hour. A 70% favorite still loses about three times in ten.
Latest Match Updates
Key movements in the prediction market odds.
Genoa 2: Matthew William Donald vs Gianluca Cadenasso winner?SEP 21, 2026
Gianluca Cadenasso is priced at 62% to beat Matthew William Donald at Genoa 2, with Matthew William Donald at 38%. Gianluca Cadenasso is the favorite, but Matthew William Donald is priced with a real shot. Over the last 24 hours the price moved 5 points toward Gianluca Cadenasso. $170 has been traded on this match across 17 markets – set winners, totals and handicaps alongside the match winner. Prices are live Polymarket probabilities and move with every trade.
62%
▲ 5% 24H
News & Insights
No headlines about this match from our sources yet – stories land here as soon as they are published.
FAQ
What does 38% for Matthew William Donald mean?
It is the live Polymarket price for a share that pays out if Matthew William Donald beats Gianluca Cadenasso. Read it as the market’s probability estimate: 38 in 100. It moves with every trade.
When does this market settle?
The market is scheduled to close around Sep 28, 2026 and resolves as soon as the match result is official. Winning shares pay $1 each.
How much money is on this match?
$170 has been traded across all 17 markets on this event so far, $170 of it in the last 24 hours.
Where do these numbers come from?
Straight from Polymarket’s public market data – Predictionist reads the same order book traders use. We refresh this page as the market moves and never adjust the numbers.
