How the match was won, set by set – the better number on each line is marked.
Marvin Moeller beat Federico Arnaboldi 6-4 6-4: 2 aces, 4 of 7 break points, 53% of all points. Priced at 70% before the match.
MATCHSET 1SET 2
Marvin Moeller
Federico Arnaboldi
2
Aces
2
2
Double faults
1
55%
1st serve in
61%
19/3554%
1st serve points won
26/4163%
20/2969%
2nd serve points won
11/2642%
4/757%
Break points won
2/1020%
8/1080%
Break points saved
3/743%
31/6846%
Return points won
25/6340%
69/13153%
Total points won
62/13147%
8/1080%
Service games won
6/1060%
Marvin Moeller
Federico Arnaboldi
2
Aces
0
2
Double faults
1
57%
1st serve in
59%
11/2055%
1st serve points won
14/2361%
7/1547%
2nd serve points won
5/1631%
3/560%
Break points won
2/1020%
8/1080%
Break points saved
2/540%
20/3951%
Return points won
17/3549%
38/7451%
Total points won
36/7449%
3/560%
Service games won
2/540%
Marvin Moeller
Federico Arnaboldi
0
Aces
2
0
Double faults
0
52%
1st serve in
64%
8/1553%
1st serve points won
12/1867%
13/1493%
2nd serve points won
6/1060%
1/250%
Break points won
–
–
Break points saved
1/250%
11/2938%
Return points won
8/2829%
31/5754%
Total points won
26/5746%
5/5100%
Service games won
4/580%
Players
Ranking, season record, form and the basics side by side.
Head-to-head level at 1–1· completed tour-level meetings, this match included
Marvin Moeller
Federico Arnaboldi
27
Age
26
Past Match-ups
Their most recent completed meetings, latest first.
Date
Tournament
Winner
Score
FEB 19, 2026
M25 Trento
Marvin Moeller
7-6(3) 6-2
JAN 27, 2026
Quimper
Federico Arnaboldi
6-4 6-4
News & Insights
No headlines about this match from our sources yet – stories land here as soon as they are published.
FAQ
What did 100% for Marvin Moeller mean?
It was the closing Polymarket price for a share that paid out if Marvin Moeller beat Federico Arnaboldi: the market settled at 100 in 100 once the result was official.
How did this market settle?
The market closed once the result was official and paid $1 a share to everyone holding the winner. The percentages on this page are the closing prices.
How much was traded on this match?
$52.4K has been traded across all 16 markets on this event so far, $52.3K of it in the last 24 hours.
Where do these numbers come from?
Straight from Polymarket’s public market data – Predictionist reads the same order book traders use. We refresh this page as the market moves and never adjust the numbers.
