Their most recent completed meetings, latest first.
Date
Tournament
Winner
Score
JUN 15, 2026
Brescia (Italy) –
Mia Ristic
6-2 6-3
What People Expect
Beyond the winner: the side markets on this match, in plain words.
How long does it go?
Straight sets
62%quoted, no trades yet
Who takes the first set?
Mia Ristic
55%quoted, no trades yet
How many games in total?
Under 21.5
52%quoted, no trades yet
Market
Leading outcome
Set 1 Winner: Noemi Basiletti vs Mia Ristic
Mia Ristic 55%
no trades
Set 2 Winner: Noemi Basiletti vs Mia Ristic
Mia Ristic 52%
no trades
Noemi Basiletti vs. Mia Ristic: Total Sets O/U 2.5
Under 2.5 62%
no trades
Basiletti vs. Ristic: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5
Over 66%
no trades
Basiletti vs. Ristic: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5
Under 55%
no trades
Basiletti vs. Ristic: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5
Under 78%
no trades
Basiletti vs. Ristic: Match O/U 21.5
Under 52%
no trades
Basiletti vs. Ristic: Match O/U 22.5
Under 58%
no trades
Set Handicap: Mia Ristic (-1.5) vs Noemi Basiletti (+1.5)
Noemi Basiletti 64%
no trades
Game Spread: Mia Ristic (-2.5) vs Noemi Basiletti (+2.5)
Noemi Basiletti 52%
no trades
5 more markets on this event have no quotes yet.
Live Win Chances
Prediction market probabilities from Polymarket, updated as market prices change.
Total Volume
$1.7K
24h Volume
$1.3K
7D
NBNoemi Basiletti44%Mia Ristic56%
source: Polymarket
Every percentage on this page is market-implied: it is the live price of a share on Polymarket, not a Predictionist model or a tip. They move with every trade and this page refreshes every hour. A 70% favorite still loses about three times in ten.
Latest Match Updates
How the win chances moved before the match.
Tolentino: Noemi Basiletti vs Mia Ristic winner?SEP 23, 2026
Mia Ristic is priced at 56% to beat Noemi Basiletti at Tolentino, with Noemi Basiletti at 44%. Mia Ristic is the favorite, but Noemi Basiletti is priced with a real shot. Over the last 24 hours the price moved 4 points toward Mia Ristic. Noemi Basiletti has won 4 of the last 5 and Mia Ristic has won 3 of the last 4. Head-to-head Mia Ristic leads 1-0. $1.7K has been traded on this match across 16 markets – set winners, totals and handicaps alongside the match winner. Prices are live Polymarket probabilities and move with every trade.
56%
▲ 4% 24H
News & Insights
No headlines about this match from our sources yet – stories land here as soon as they are published.
FAQ
What does 44% for Noemi Basiletti mean?
It is the live Polymarket price for a share that pays out if Noemi Basiletti beats Mia Ristic. Read it as the market’s probability estimate: 44 in 100. It moves with every trade.
When does this market settle?
The market is scheduled to close around Sep 30, 2026 and resolves as soon as the match result is official. Winning shares pay $1 each.
How much money is on this match?
$1.7K has been traded across all 16 markets on this event so far, $1.3K of it in the last 24 hours.
Where do these numbers come from?
Straight from Polymarket’s public market data – Predictionist reads the same order book traders use. We refresh this page as the market moves and never adjust the numbers.
